silkywhisky

ABERFELDY 16 Years Old

1.00× fair value 16yo rating 4.5/5 · n=2
cheapest
€54.95
topdrinks
intrinsic
€84.28
N
4

Is it worth the price?

ABERFELDY 16 Years Old is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Aberfeldy distillery, bottled at 16 years old. Tasters score it 4.5 out of 5 across 2 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €54.95 to €85.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €84.28. That is 1.00× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. Of the 2 Aberfeldy bottlings priced here, this is the weakest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €54.95
whisky.fr €83.50
thewhiskyshop €84.63
whiskylodge €85.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.50 / 5
Age
16yo
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€84.28
Actual price (median)
€84.07
Multiple
1.00×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (16 × €1.20/year)
€33.86
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€43.66
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Bacardi / John Dewar & Sons — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1896 (130 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.5/5 across 2 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
7 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.58
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€69.13
Actual price (median)
€84.07
Multiple
1.22×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 1,998 mm at Auchnafree (14 km). Scotland E rolling 12-month rainfall1,703 mm, +40.50% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Aberfeldy