silkywhisky
AnCnoc / Speyside

AN CNOC 16 Years Old

1.01× fair value 16yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€99.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€98.59
N
1

Is it worth the price?

AN CNOC 16 Years Old is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the AnCnoc distillery, bottled at 16 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €99.90, against a model fair price of around €98.59. That is 1.01× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 4 AnCnoc bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €99.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
16yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Budget Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€98.59
Actual price (median)
€99.90
Multiple
1.01×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (16 × €1.20/year)
€33.86
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.08
Cost floor
€49.94
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    worm tub condensers; on-site dunnage warehouses; Oregon pine washbacks; 45-65h fermentation; double distilled; crew of 8; Knockdhu distillery, bottled as anCnoc; mothballed 1983-1989
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    Inver House Distillers (Thai Beverage) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1894 (132 years of operation); mothballed 1983-1989
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    0 / 3
Quality score
7 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.58
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€79.08
Actual price (median)
€99.90
Multiple
1.26×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 850 mm at Avochie (7 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from AnCnoc