silkywhisky
Ardnahoe / Islay

Ardnahoe Bholsa

1.09× fair value NAS rating 4.3/5 · n=50
cheapest
€74.38
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€68.25
N
1

Is it worth the price?

Ardnahoe Bholsa is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Ardnahoe distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.3 out of 5 across 50 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €74.38, against a model fair price of around €68.25. That is 1.09× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 3 Ardnahoe bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €74.38

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.30 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Islay
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€68.25
Actual price (median)
€74.38
Multiple
1.09×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€24.42

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    traditional Islay peated production; unusually long worm tubs
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Hunter Laing (independent) — family multigenerational
    3 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 2018 (8 years of operation)
    0 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.3/5 across 50 reviews
    0 / 3
Quality score
5 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.42
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€34.60
Actual price (median)
€74.38
Multiple
2.15×
Verdict band
brand premium

Maturation context

Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,593 mm at Lingerton (46 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Ardnahoe