silkywhisky

AUCHENTOSHAN 12 Years Old

0.66× hidden gem 12yo rating 4.6/5 · n=34
cheapest
€34.60
topdrinks
intrinsic
€59.52
N
3

Is it worth the price?

AUCHENTOSHAN 12 Years Old is a Lowland single malt Scotch from the Auchentoshan distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.6 out of 5 across 34 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €34.60 to €47.90, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €59.52. That is 0.66× the model estimate — well below what its age, strength and house predict, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 4 Auchentoshan bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €34.60
thewhiskyshop €39.51
whisky.fr €47.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.56 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Lowland
Distillery tier
Budget Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€59.52
Actual price (median)
€39.51
Multiple
0.66×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€34.24
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    triple distillation (paper)
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Beam Suntory — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1823 (203 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.5588/5 across 34 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€51.37
Actual price (median)
€39.51
Multiple
0.77×
Verdict band
hidden gem

Maturation context

Lowland · rolling 12 months: 1,175 mm at Killermont Raingauge (8 km). Scotland E rolling 12-month rainfall1,667 mm, +37.40% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Auchentoshan