silkywhisky
Daftmill / Lowland

DAFTMILL 2012 Winter Release

2.32× brand premium NAS rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€175.00
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€75.44
N
1

Is it worth the price?

DAFTMILL 2012 Winter Release is a Lowland single malt Scotch from the Daftmill distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €175.00, against a model fair price of around €75.44. That is 2.32× the model estimate — well above what its age, strength and house predict, a substantial brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €175.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Lowland
Distillery tier
Premium Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€75.44
Actual price (median)
€175.00
Multiple
2.32×
Verdict band
brand premium (2.00× < … ≤ 4.00×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.40/cl × 70 cl)
€28.00
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.15
Cost floor
€40.16

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    100% estate-grown barley (single-farm provenance); single-farm provenance; farm-to-bottle integration; tiny output
    3 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle; single-estate malt
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Cuthbert family (farmer-distillers) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 2005 (21 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    3 / 3
Quality score
11 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.92
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€76.97
Actual price (median)
€175.00
Multiple
2.27×
Verdict band
brand premium

Maturation context

Lowland · rolling 12 months: 781 mm at Rossie Farm (6 km). Scotland E rolling 12-month rainfall1,667 mm, +37.40% vs 1995-2024 median.