silkywhisky
Edradour / Highland

BALLECHIN 12 Years Old 2012 1st Fill Oloroso Butt Cask Strength Collection Itinéraires

1.07× fair value 12yo rating 5.0/5 · n=3
cheapest
€139.00
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€130.42
N
1

Is it worth the price?

BALLECHIN 12 Years Old 2012 1st Fill Oloroso Butt Cask Strength Collection Itinéraires is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Edradour distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 3 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €139.00, against a model fair price of around €130.42. That is 1.07× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 6 Edradour bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €139.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€130.42
Actual price (median)
€139.00
Multiple
1.07×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.40/cl × 70 cl)
€28.00
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (first fill sherry)
+€12.00
× ABV factor
×1.43
Cost floor
€88.30
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    tiny operation; classic methods
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    first fill sherry
    2 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    57.3% ABV; cask strength (declared); E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    Signatory Vintage (Andrew Symington) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1825 (201 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 3 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
13 / 18
Quality multiplier
×2.08
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€183.97
Actual price (median)
€139.00
Multiple
0.76×
Verdict band
hidden gem

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 1,280 mm at Kindrogan (11 km). Scotland E rolling 12-month rainfall1,667 mm, +37.40% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Edradour