silkywhisky

Kingsbarns Dream to Dram

0.91× fair value NAS rating 4.0/5 · n=50
cheapest
€66.08
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€72.58
N
1

Is it worth the price?

Kingsbarns Dream to Dram is a single malt Scotch from the Kingsbarns distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.1 out of 5 across 50 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €66.08, against a model fair price of around €72.58. That is 0.91× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €66.08

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.05 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€72.58
Actual price (median)
€66.08
Multiple
0.91×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€24.42

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    Lowland farm distillery
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Wemyss Malts (independent) — family multigenerational
    3 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 2014 (12 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.05/5 across 50 reviews
    0 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€36.63
Actual price (median)
€66.08
Multiple
1.80×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Lowland · rolling 12 months: 637 mm at Cambo Sands (1 km). Scotland E rolling 12-month rainfall1,703 mm, +40.50% vs 1995-2024 median.