silkywhisky

LINKWOOD 12 Years Old 2013 Very Cloudy 2nd fill butts Signatory Vintage

0.73× hidden gem 12yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€59.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€81.73
N
1

Is it worth the price?

LINKWOOD 12 Years Old 2013 Very Cloudy 2nd fill butts Signatory Vintage is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Linkwood distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €59.90, against a model fair price of around €81.73. That is 0.73× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. Of the 4 Linkwood bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €59.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€81.73
Actual price (median)
€59.90
Multiple
0.73×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€34.24
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1821 (205 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    1 / 3
Quality score
8 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.67
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€57.07
Actual price (median)
€59.90
Multiple
1.05×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 603 mm at Blackhills No 2 (5 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,235 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

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