Is it worth the price?
LONGMORN 1994 Aged 30 Years Old ARTIST #14 Rothes Glen is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Longmorn distillery, bottled at 30 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €850.00, against a model fair price of around €818.90. That is 1.04× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes.
Retailers tracked
| Retailer | Price |
|---|---|
| whisky.fr | €850.00 |
How we got this number
The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.
- Rating
- 5.00 / 5
- Age
- 30yo
- Region
- Speyside
- Distillery tier
- Premium Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
- Predicted price
- €818.90
- Actual price (median)
- €850.00
- Multiple
- 1.04×
- Verdict band
- fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)
Methodology estimate
The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.
- Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
- €9.80
- Maturation (30 × €1.20/year)
- €116.25
- Cask premium (undeclared)
- +€0.00
- × ABV factor
- ×1.40
- Cost floor
- €176.15
- Process distinctnessno declared distinctive practices2 / 3
- Cask provenancecask type not declared on bottle0 / 3
- Bottling integrity55.9% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed3 / 3
- OwnershipPernod Ricard / Chivas Brothers — independent or smaller group2 / 3
- Heritagefounded 1893 (133 years of operation)2 / 3
- Reputation5.0/5 across 1 review3 / 3
- Quality score
- 12 / 18
- Quality multiplier
- ×2.00
- Intrinsic value
- €352.31
- Actual price (median)
- €850.00
- Multiple
- 2.41×
- Verdict band
- brand premium
Maturation context
Speyside · rolling 12 months: 691 mm at Blackhills No 2 (4 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.