silkywhisky
Macduff

The Deveron 12 Years Old

0.86× fair value 12yo rating 4.1/5 · n=5
cheapest
€34.95
topdrinks
intrinsic
€47.05
N
2

Is it worth the price?

The Deveron 12 Years Old is a single malt Scotch from the Macduff distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.1 out of 5 across 5 reviews. It is tracked at 2 retailers, ranging from €34.95 to €46.38, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €47.05. That is 0.86× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. Of the 2 Macduff bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €34.95
thewhiskyshop €46.38

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.10 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
—
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€47.05
Actual price (median)
€40.67
Multiple
0.86×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€31.44
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Bacardi / John Dewar & Sons — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1960 (66 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.1/5 across 5 reviews
    0 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€47.17
Actual price (median)
€40.67
Multiple
0.86×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 513 mm at Cullen (19 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Macduff