silkywhisky
Mortlach / Speyside

MORTLACH 10 Years Old 2016 Very Cloudy Hogshead Signatory Vintage

1.09× fair value 10yo rating 3.5/5 · n=2
cheapest
€62.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€57.45
N
1

Is it worth the price?

MORTLACH 10 Years Old 2016 Very Cloudy Hogshead Signatory Vintage is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Mortlach distillery, bottled at 10 years old. Tasters score it 3.5 out of 5 across 2 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €62.90, against a model fair price of around €57.45. That is 1.09× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. Of the 3 Mortlach bottlings priced here, this is the weakest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €62.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
3.50 / 5
Age
10yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€57.45
Actual price (median)
€62.90
Multiple
1.09×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (10 × €1.20/year)
€16.69
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€26.49
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    worm tubs (paper); 2.81x complex distillation (paper Wee Witchie); long fermentation
    3 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo (prestige range) — prestige-corporate
    0 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1823 (203 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    3.5/5 across 2 reviews
    0 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€39.73
Actual price (median)
€62.90
Multiple
1.58×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 716 mm at Aberlour (7 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,235 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Mortlach