silkywhisky
Orkney / Island

ORKNEY (HP) 14 Years Old 2011 1st Fill Oloroso 100 Proof #71 Signatory Vintage

0.56× hidden gem 14yo rating 5.0/5 · n=2
cheapest
€64.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€115.15
N
1

Is it worth the price?

ORKNEY (HP) 14 Years Old 2011 1st Fill Oloroso 100 Proof #71 Signatory Vintage is an Island single malt Scotch from the Orkney distillery, bottled at 14 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 2 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €64.90, against a model fair price of around €115.15. That is 0.56× the model estimate — well below what its age, strength and house predict, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €64.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
14yo
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€115.15
Actual price (median)
€64.90
Multiple
0.56×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (14 × €1.20/year)
€27.33
Cask premium (first fill sherry)
+€12.00
× ABV factor
×1.43
Cost floor
€74.13
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    Signatory IB labels casks as 'Orkney' for confidentiality
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    first fill sherry (cask #71)
    3 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    57.1% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    anonymous IB label (commonly Highland Park / Edrington) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1798 (228 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 2 reviews
    3 / 3
Quality score
16 / 18
Quality multiplier
×2.33
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€172.97
Actual price (median)
€64.90
Multiple
0.38×
Verdict band
hidden gem

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 1,216 mm at Durkadale (22 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.