silkywhisky
Speyburn / Speyside

Speyburn 10 Years Old

0.73× hidden gem 10yo rating 3.9/5 · n=100
cheapest
€33.70
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€45.92
N
1

Is it worth the price?

Speyburn 10 Years Old is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Speyburn distillery, bottled at 10 years old. Tasters score it 3.9 out of 5 across 100 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €33.70, against a model fair price of around €45.92. That is 0.73× the model estimate — well below what its age, strength and house predict, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 2 Speyburn bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €33.70

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
3.91 / 5
Age
10yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Budget Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€45.92
Actual price (median)
€33.70
Multiple
0.73×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (10 × €1.20/year)
€16.69
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€26.49
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    doubled capacity in a 2014 expansion
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Inver House Distillers (Thai Beverage) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1897 (129 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    3.91/5 across 100 reviews
    0 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€39.73
Actual price (median)
€33.70
Multiple
0.85×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 799 mm at Aberlour (6 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Speyburn