silkywhisky

Springbank 12 Years Old Cask Strength

0.72× hidden gem 12yo rating 4.4/5 · n=100
cheapest
€89.49
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€124.81
N
1

Is it worth the price?

Springbank 12 Years Old Cask Strength is a Campbeltown single malt Scotch from the Springbank distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.4 out of 5 across 100 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €89.49, against a model fair price of around €124.81. That is 0.72× the model estimate — well below what its age, strength and house predict, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 6 Springbank bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €89.49

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.43 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Campbeltown
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€124.81
Actual price (median)
€89.49
Multiple
0.72×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€39.14
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    partial estate barley / floor malting on site; 2.5x distillation (paper); on-site floor malting (paper); dunnage warehousing; own malting/bottling integration; mothballed 1979-1989
    3 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle; partial single-estate malt
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; cask strength (declared); E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    J&A Mitchell (Mitchell family) — family multigenerational
    3 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1828 (198 years of operation); mothballed 1979-1989
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.43/5 across 100 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
12 / 18
Quality multiplier
×2.00
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€78.29
Actual price (median)
€89.49
Multiple
1.14×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Campbeltown · rolling 12 months: 1,849 mm at Dippen (19 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Springbank