silkywhisky

Springbank 12 Years Old Cask Strength

0.84× fair value 12yo rating 4.4/5 · n=100
cheapest
€89.27
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€105.87
N
1

Is it worth the price?

Springbank 12 Years Old Cask Strength is a single malt Scotch from the Springbank distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.4 out of 5 across 100 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €89.27, against a model fair price of around €105.87. That is 0.84× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. Of the 6 Springbank bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €89.27

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.43 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€105.87
Actual price (median)
€89.27
Multiple
0.84×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€39.14
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    partial estate barley / floor malting on site; 2.5x distillation (paper); on-site floor malting (paper); dunnage warehousing; own malting/bottling integration; mothballed 1979-1989
    3 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle; partial single-estate malt
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; cask strength (declared); E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    J&A Mitchell (Mitchell family) — family multigenerational
    3 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1828 (198 years of operation); mothballed 1979-1989
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.43/5 across 100 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
12 / 18
Quality multiplier
×2.00
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€78.29
Actual price (median)
€89.27
Multiple
1.14×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Campbeltown · rolling 12 months: 1,867 mm at Dippen (19 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Springbank