silkywhisky
Tullibardine / Highland

TULLIBARDINE Sovereign

0.84× fair value NAS rating 4.5/5 · n=6
cheapest
€30.50
topdrinks
intrinsic
€49.89
N
3

Is it worth the price?

TULLIBARDINE Sovereign is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Tullibardine distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.5 out of 5 across 6 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €30.50 to €43.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €49.89. That is 0.84× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. It is one of 7 Tullibardine bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €30.50
whisky.fr €42.00
whiskylodge €43.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.50 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€49.89
Actual price (median)
€42.00
Multiple
0.84×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.05
Cost floor
€20.50

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    standard production; mothballed 1995-2003
    0 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    Picard Vins & Spiritueux — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1949 (77 years of operation); mothballed 1995-2003
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.5/5 across 6 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
7 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.58
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€32.45
Actual price (median)
€42.00
Multiple
1.29×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 1,485 mm at Braco (Dunduff) (8 km). Scotland E rolling 12-month rainfall1,703 mm, +40.50% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Tullibardine