silkywhisky

BALBLAIR 15 Years Old

0.62× hidden gem 15yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€92.75
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€170.67
N
4

Is it worth the price?

BALBLAIR 15 Years Old is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Balblair distillery, bottled at 15 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €92.75 to €119.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €170.67. That is 0.62× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. It is one of 3 Balblair bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €92.75
whiskylodge €104.00
topdrinks €108.95
whisky.fr €119.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
15yo
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€170.67
Actual price (median)
€106.48
Multiple
0.62×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (15 × €1.20/year)
€30.48
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.10
Cost floor
€47.39
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Inver House Distillers (Thai Beverage) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1790 (236 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    2 / 3
Quality score
11 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.92
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€90.83
Actual price (median)
€106.48
Multiple
1.17×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 747 mm at Milton of Evelix TBR (8 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Balblair