silkywhisky

BALBLAIR 18 Years Old

0.63× hidden gem 18yo rating 4.6/5 · n=5
cheapest
€141.50
topdrinks
intrinsic
€231.37
N
3

Is it worth the price?

BALBLAIR 18 Years Old is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Balblair distillery, bottled at 18 years old. Tasters score it 4.6 out of 5 across 5 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €141.50 to €192.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €231.37. That is 0.63× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. Of the 3 Balblair bottlings priced here, this is the weakest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €141.50
thewhiskyshop €144.92
whisky.fr €192.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.60 / 5
Age
18yo
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€231.37
Actual price (median)
€144.92
Multiple
0.63×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (18 × €1.20/year)
€41.35
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.10
Cost floor
€59.35
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Inver House Distillers (Thai Beverage) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1790 (236 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.6/5 across 5 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
11 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.92
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€113.75
Actual price (median)
€144.92
Multiple
1.27×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 747 mm at Milton of Evelix TBR (8 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Balblair