silkywhisky

BALMENACH 17 Years Old 2008 Itinéraires Murray McDavid

1.12× fair value 17yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€165.00
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€146.84
N
1

Is it worth the price?

BALMENACH 17 Years Old 2008 Itinéraires Murray McDavid is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Balmenach distillery, bottled at 17 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €165.00, against a model fair price of around €146.84. That is 1.12× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 2 Balmenach bottlings priced here, this is the weakest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €165.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
17yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€146.84
Actual price (median)
€165.00
Multiple
1.12×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (17 × €1.20/year)
€37.48
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.36
Cost floor
€68.23
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    worm tub condensers; on-site dunnage warehouses; Douglas fir washbacks; 7h mash cycle; 54h fermentation; six pot stills; wide cut 72-58% ABV; licensed 1824 under the Excise Act; mothballed 1993-1997
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    54.5% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    Inver House Distillers (International Beverage / ThaiBev) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1824 (202 years of operation); mothballed 1993-1997
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    0 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€119.40
Actual price (median)
€165.00
Multiple
1.38×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 749 mm at Tulchan (10 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Balmenach