silkywhisky
Balvenie / Speyside

BALVENIE (The) 12 Years Old The Sweet Toast of American Oak

0.72× hidden gem 12yo rating 5.0/5 · n=2
cheapest
€56.81
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€107.19
N
3

Is it worth the price?

BALVENIE (The) 12 Years Old The Sweet Toast of American Oak is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Balvenie distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 2 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €56.81 to €79.90, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €107.19. That is 0.72× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. It is one of 8 Balvenie bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €56.81
whiskylodge €77.50
whisky.fr €79.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€107.19
Actual price (median)
€77.50
Multiple
0.72×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.05
Cost floor
€33.02
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    partial estate barley / floor malting on site; partial floor malting; own cooperage; on-site coppersmith
    3 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle; partial single-estate malt
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    William Grant & Sons (family corporate) — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1892 (134 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 2 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€57.78
Actual price (median)
€77.50
Multiple
1.34×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 765 mm at Aberlour (5 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Balvenie