silkywhisky
Bunnahabhain / Islay

BUNNAHABHAIN Eirigh Na Greine

0.81× fair value NAS rating 5.0/5 · n=3
cheapest
€79.50
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€103.77
N
2

Is it worth the price?

BUNNAHABHAIN Eirigh Na Greine is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Bunnahabhain distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 3 reviews. It is tracked at 2 retailers, ranging from €79.50 to €89.49, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €103.77. That is 0.81× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 13 Bunnahabhain bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €79.50
thewhiskyshop €89.49

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Islay
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€103.77
Actual price (median)
€84.50
Multiple
0.81×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.16
Cost floor
€19.35

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    lightly peated for Islay; long fermentation
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.3% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Distell (Heineken) — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1881 (145 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 3 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
7 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.58
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€30.64
Actual price (median)
€84.50
Multiple
2.76×
Verdict band
brand premium

The two models disagree sharply here. The deal-score regression learns from peer prices that age and brand command €103.77 (0.81× the listed price), while the cost-and-quality methodology floors the bottle at €30.64 (2.76×). The gap is the brand premium the market pays beyond what materials, maturation and bottling integrity alone can justify.

Maturation context

Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,593 mm at Lingerton (46 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Bunnahabhain