silkywhisky
Dalwhinnie / Speyside

DALWHINNIE Winter Gold

1.16× fair value NAS rating 4.7/5 · n=18
cheapest
€63.00
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€54.51
N
1

Is it worth the price?

DALWHINNIE Winter Gold is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Dalwhinnie distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.7 out of 5 across 18 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €63.00, against a model fair price of around €54.51. That is 1.16× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 3 Dalwhinnie bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €63.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.67 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€54.51
Actual price (median)
€63.00
Multiple
1.16×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.08
Cost floor
€20.98

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1898 (128 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.6667/5 across 18 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€36.72
Actual price (median)
€63.00
Multiple
1.72×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 1,205 mm at Dalwhinnie (0 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Dalwhinnie