silkywhisky
Glenfiddich / Speyside

GLENFIDDICH Fire & Cane Ancien Packaging

0.80× hidden gem NAS rating 4.8/5 · n=4
cheapest
€59.00
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€74.07
N
1

Is it worth the price?

GLENFIDDICH Fire & Cane Ancien Packaging is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Glenfiddich distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.8 out of 5 across 4 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €59.00, against a model fair price of around €74.07. That is 0.80× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. It is one of 11 Glenfiddich bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €59.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.75 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€74.07
Actual price (median)
€59.00
Multiple
0.80×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.10/cl × 70 cl)
€7.00
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.05
Cost floor
€14.62

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    own coopers; large-scale standard production
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    William Grant & Sons (family corporate) — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1886 (140 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.75/5 across 4 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
7 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.58
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€23.14
Actual price (median)
€59.00
Multiple
2.55×
Verdict band
brand premium

The two models disagree sharply here. The deal-score regression learns from peer prices that age and brand command €74.07 (0.80× the listed price), while the cost-and-quality methodology floors the bottle at €23.14 (2.55×). The gap is the brand premium the market pays beyond what materials, maturation and bottling integrity alone can justify.

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 765 mm at Aberlour (6 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Glenfiddich