silkywhisky
Glengyle

Kilkerran 16 Years Old

0.56× hidden gem 16yo rating 4.3/5 · n=50
cheapest
€83.48
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€175.43
N
2

Is it worth the price?

Kilkerran 16 Years Old is a single malt Scotch from the Glengyle distillery, bottled at 16 years old. Tasters score it 4.3 out of 5 across 50 reviews. It is tracked at 2 retailers, ranging from €83.48 to €114.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €175.43. That is 0.56× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. Of the 3 Glengyle bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €83.48
whiskylodge €114.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.30 / 5
Age
16yo
Region
—
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€175.43
Actual price (median)
€98.74
Multiple
0.56×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (16 × €1.20/year)
€33.86
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€51.36
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    Springbank's sister revived 2004; ~80k LAP actual (Oct-Dec only); bottled as Kilkerran
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    J&A Mitchell (Mitchell family) — family multigenerational
    3 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 2004 (22 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.3/5 across 50 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
7 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.58
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€81.32
Actual price (median)
€98.74
Multiple
1.21×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Campbeltown · rolling 12 months: 1,867 mm at Dippen (19 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Glengyle