silkywhisky
Glenlivet / Speyside

GLENLIVET (The) 13 Years Old First Fill American Oak

0.62× hidden gem 13yo rating 4.7/5 · n=6
cheapest
€43.60
topdrinks
intrinsic
€71.08
N
3

Is it worth the price?

GLENLIVET (The) 13 Years Old First Fill American Oak is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Glenlivet distillery, bottled at 13 years old. Tasters score it 4.7 out of 5 across 6 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €43.60 to €44.90, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €71.08. That is 0.62× the model estimate — well below what its age, strength and house predict, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 8 Glenlivet bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €43.60
whiskylodge €44.00
whisky.fr €44.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.67 / 5
Age
13yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€71.08
Actual price (median)
€44.00
Multiple
0.62×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.10/cl × 70 cl)
€7.00
Maturation (13 × €1.20/year)
€24.39
Cask premium (first fill bourbon)
+€3.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€34.39
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    large-volume standard production; minor closures during wars
    0 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    first fill bourbon
    2 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Pernod Ricard / Chivas Brothers — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1824 (202 years of operation); closures during wars
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.6667/5 across 6 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€51.58
Actual price (median)
€44.00
Multiple
0.85×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 781 mm at Delnashaugh (6 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Glenlivet