silkywhisky

HIGHLAND PARK 21 Years Old

0.92× fair value 21yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€261.49
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€283.70
N
1

Is it worth the price?

HIGHLAND PARK 21 Years Old is an Island single malt Scotch from the Highland Park distillery, bottled at 21 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €261.49, against a model fair price of around €283.70. That is 0.92× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 5 Highland Park bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €261.49

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
21yo
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Premium Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€283.70
Actual price (median)
€261.49
Multiple
0.92×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (21 × €1.20/year)
€54.72
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.15
Cost floor
€77.42
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    partial estate barley / floor malting on site; floor malting; heather peat; aromatic-island style
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle; partial single-estate malt
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Edrington — prestige-corporate
    0 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1798 (228 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    3 / 3
Quality score
10 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.83
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€141.93
Actual price (median)
€261.49
Multiple
1.84×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 1,216 mm at Durkadale (22 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Highland Park