silkywhisky
Jura / Island

JURA 16 Years Old Perspective No. 01

0.98× fair value 16yo rating 4.8/5 · n=5
cheapest
€79.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€81.45
N
1

Is it worth the price?

JURA 16 Years Old Perspective No. 01 is an Island single malt Scotch from the Jura distillery, bottled at 16 years old. Tasters score it 4.8 out of 5 across 5 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €79.90, against a model fair price of around €81.45. That is 0.98× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. It is one of 14 Jura bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €79.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.80 / 5
Age
16yo
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€81.45
Actual price (median)
€79.90
Multiple
0.98×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (16 × €1.20/year)
€33.86
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.10
Cost floor
€51.10
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    re-established 1963; standard production
    0 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.5% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Whyte & Mackay (Emperador) — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1810 (216 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.8/5 across 5 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
7 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.58
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€80.92
Actual price (median)
€79.90
Multiple
0.99×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 1,476 mm at Lingerton (39 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Jura