silkywhisky
Jura / Island

JURA Winter Edition

1.03× fair value NAS rating 4.0/5 · n=4
cheapest
€33.20
topdrinks
intrinsic
€33.20
N
2

Is it worth the price?

JURA Winter Edition is an Island single malt Scotch from the Jura distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.0 out of 5 across 4 reviews. It is tracked at 2 retailers, ranging from €33.20 to €34.90, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €33.20. That is 1.03× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 13 Jura bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €33.20
whisky.fr €34.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.00 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Budget Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€33.20
Actual price (median)
€34.05
Multiple
1.03×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€19.52

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    re-established 1963; standard production
    0 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Whyte & Mackay (Emperador) — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1810 (216 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.0/5 across 4 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
5 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.42
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€27.65
Actual price (median)
€34.05
Multiple
1.23×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 1,593 mm at Lingerton (39 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Jura