silkywhisky

KILCHOMAN Sanaig

0.84× fair value NAS rating 4.8/5 · n=41
cheapest
€51.20
topdrinks
intrinsic
€81.52
N
4

Is it worth the price?

KILCHOMAN Sanaig is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Kilchoman distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.8 out of 5 across 41 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €51.20 to €76.50, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €81.52. That is 0.84× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 14 Kilchoman bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €51.20
thewhiskyshop €66.83
whisky.fr €69.90
whiskylodge €76.50

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.80 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Islay
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€81.52
Actual price (median)
€68.37
Multiple
0.84×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.15
Cost floor
€28.08

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    partial estate barley / floor malting on site; on-site floor malting; field-to-bottle 100% Islay range
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle; partial single-estate malt
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Anthony Wills (founder family) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 2005 (21 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.8049/5 across 41 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€49.15
Actual price (median)
€68.37
Multiple
1.39×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,849 mm at Dippen (63 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Kilchoman