silkywhisky
Macallan / Speyside

MACALLAN (The) 15 Years Old Double Cask

1.14× fair value 15yo rating 4.9/5 · n=7
cheapest
€165.79
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€158.05
N
4

Is it worth the price?

MACALLAN (The) 15 Years Old Double Cask is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Macallan distillery, bottled at 15 years old. Tasters score it 4.9 out of 5 across 7 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €165.79 to €199.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €158.05. That is 1.14× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. It is one of 9 Macallan bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €165.79
topdrinks €169.95
whiskylodge €189.00
whisky.fr €199.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.86 / 5
Age
15yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€158.05
Actual price (median)
€179.48
Multiple
1.14×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.10/cl × 70 cl)
€7.00
Maturation (15 × €1.20/year)
€30.48
Cask premium (ex sherry)
+€8.00
× ABV factor
×1.05
Cost floor
€47.76
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    small stills (signature); curated sherry-cask program
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    ex sherry
    1 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    Edrington — prestige-corporate
    0 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1824 (202 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.8571/5 across 7 reviews
    3 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€83.57
Actual price (median)
€179.48
Multiple
2.15×
Verdict band
brand premium

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 765 mm at Aberlour (1 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Macallan