silkywhisky
Scapa / Island

SCAPA 16 Years Old

0.62× hidden gem 16yo rating 4.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€102.03
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€171.17
N
4

Is it worth the price?

SCAPA 16 Years Old is an Island single malt Scotch from the Scapa distillery, bottled at 16 years old. Tasters score it 4.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €102.03 to €118.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €171.17. That is 0.62× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. Of the 2 Scapa bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €102.03
topdrinks €103.65
whiskylodge €107.00
whisky.fr €118.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.00 / 5
Age
16yo
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€171.17
Actual price (median)
€105.33
Multiple
0.62×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (16 × €1.20/year)
€33.86
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.20
Cost floor
€55.75
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    48.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Pernod Ricard / Chivas Brothers — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1885 (141 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.0/5 across 1 review
    1 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€97.56
Actual price (median)
€105.33
Multiple
1.08×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 1,005 mm at Kirkwall (3 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Scapa