silkywhisky

SCAPA 16 Years Old

0.97× fair value 16yo rating 4.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€97.55
topdrinks
intrinsic
€120.79
N
4

Is it worth the price?

SCAPA 16 Years Old is an Island single malt Scotch from the Scapa distillery, bottled at 16 years old. Tasters score it 4.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €97.55 to €119.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €120.79. That is 0.97× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 2 Scapa bottlings priced here, this is the weakest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €97.55
thewhiskyshop €116.22
whisky.fr €118.00
whiskylodge €119.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.00 / 5
Age
16yo
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€120.79
Actual price (median)
€117.11
Multiple
0.97×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (16 × €1.20/year)
€33.86
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.20
Cost floor
€55.75
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    48.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Pernod Ricard / Chivas Brothers — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1885 (141 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.0/5 across 1 review
    1 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€97.56
Actual price (median)
€117.11
Multiple
1.20×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 1,216 mm at Durkadale (21 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Scapa