silkywhisky
Tamnavulin / Speyside

TAMNAVULIN Double Cask

0.79× hidden gem NAS rating 5.0/5 · n=2
cheapest
€24.50
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€31.77
N
3

Is it worth the price?

TAMNAVULIN Double Cask is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Tamnavulin distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 2 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €24.50 to €27.89, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €31.77. That is 0.79× the model estimate — well below what its age, strength and house predict, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 6 Tamnavulin bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €24.50
topdrinks €25.25
Système U €27.89

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Budget Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€31.77
Actual price (median)
€25.25
Multiple
0.79×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (ex sherry)
+€8.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€24.72

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    standard production; mothballed 1995-2007
    0 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    ex sherry
    1 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Whyte & Mackay (Emperador) — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1966 (60 years of operation); mothballed 1995-2007
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 2 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
5 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.42
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€35.02
Actual price (median)
€25.25
Multiple
0.72×
Verdict band
hidden gem

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 781 mm at Delnashaugh (10 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Tamnavulin