silkywhisky
Tamnavulin / Speyside

TAMNAVULIN Red Wine Cask Spanish Grenache

0.91× fair value NAS rating 4.3/5 · n=18
cheapest
€27.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€30.66
N
1

Is it worth the price?

TAMNAVULIN Red Wine Cask Spanish Grenache is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Tamnavulin distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.3 out of 5 across 18 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €27.90, against a model fair price of around €30.66. That is 0.91× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 6 Tamnavulin bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €27.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.33 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Budget Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€30.66
Actual price (median)
€27.90
Multiple
0.91×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (wine)
+€10.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€26.72

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    standard production; mothballed 1995-2007
    0 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    wine
    1 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Whyte & Mackay (Emperador) — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1966 (60 years of operation); mothballed 1995-2007
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.3333/5 across 18 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
5 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.42
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€37.85
Actual price (median)
€27.90
Multiple
0.74×
Verdict band
hidden gem

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 781 mm at Delnashaugh (10 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Tamnavulin