silkywhisky

TOBERMORY 12 Years Old

0.86× fair value 12yo rating 4.7/5 · n=9
cheapest
€44.00
topdrinks
intrinsic
€65.19
N
5

Is it worth the price?

TOBERMORY 12 Years Old is an Island single malt Scotch from the Tobermory distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.7 out of 5 across 9 reviews. It is tracked at 5 retailers, ranging from €44.00 to €71.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €65.19. That is 0.86× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 5 Tobermory bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €44.00
thewhiskyshop €48.81
inverurie €55.78
whiskylodge €67.00
whisky.fr €71.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.67 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€65.19
Actual price (median)
€55.78
Multiple
0.86×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.16
Cost floor
€39.64
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    produces both Tobermory and Ledaig
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.3% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Distell (Heineken) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1798 (228 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.6667/5 across 9 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
11 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.92
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€75.97
Actual price (median)
€55.78
Multiple
0.73×
Verdict band
hidden gem

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 2,313 mm at Tobermory (1 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Tobermory