silkywhisky
Tobermory / Island

LEDAIG Sinclair Series Rioja Cask Finish

1.00× fair value NAS rating 4.5/5 · n=22
cheapest
€46.00
whiskylodge
intrinsic
€47.47
N
3

Is it worth the price?

LEDAIG Sinclair Series Rioja Cask Finish is an Island single malt Scotch from the Tobermory distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.5 out of 5 across 22 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €46.00 to €53.33, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €47.47. That is 1.00× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. Of the 4 Tobermory bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whiskylodge €46.00
whisky.fr €47.50
thewhiskyshop €53.33

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.55 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€47.47
Actual price (median)
€47.50
Multiple
1.00×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (wine)
+€10.00
× ABV factor
×1.10
Cost floor
€32.47

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    produces both Tobermory and Ledaig
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    wine
    1 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.3% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Distell (Heineken) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1798 (228 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.5455/5 across 22 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
12 / 18
Quality multiplier
×2.00
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€64.94
Actual price (median)
€47.50
Multiple
0.73×
Verdict band
hidden gem

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 2,358 mm at Tobermory (1 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Tobermory