Is it worth the price?
LEDAIG Sinclair Series Rioja Cask Finish is an Island single malt Scotch from the Tobermory distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.5 out of 5 across 22 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €46.00 to €53.46, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €57.68. That is 0.82× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 5 Tobermory bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.
Retailers tracked
| Retailer | Price |
|---|---|
| whiskylodge | €46.00 |
| whisky.fr | €47.50 |
| thewhiskyshop | €53.46 |
How we got this number
The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.
- Rating
- 4.55 / 5
- Age
- No age statement
- Region
- Island
- Distillery tier
- Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
- Predicted price
- €57.68
- Actual price (median)
- €47.50
- Multiple
- 0.82×
- Verdict band
- fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)
Methodology estimate
The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.
- Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
- €12.60
- Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
- €6.92
- Cask premium (wine)
- +€10.00
- × ABV factor
- ×1.16
- Cost floor
- €34.17
NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).
- Process distinctnessproduces both Tobermory and Ledaig2 / 3
- Cask provenancewine1 / 3
- Bottling integrity46.3% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed2 / 3
- OwnershipDistell (Heineken) — independent or smaller group2 / 3
- Heritagefounded 1798 (228 years of operation)3 / 3
- Reputation4.5455/5 across 22 reviews2 / 3
- Quality score
- 12 / 18
- Quality multiplier
- ×2.00
- Intrinsic value
- €68.34
- Actual price (median)
- €47.50
- Multiple
- 0.70×
- Verdict band
- hidden gem
Maturation context
Island · rolling 12 months: 2,313 mm at Tobermory (1 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.
Other bottlings from Tobermory
- TOBERMORY 12 Years Old €44.00 · 0.86×
- LEDAIG 12 Years Old Smoky Discovery Gordon & Macphail €65.00 · 1.22×
- LEDAIG 18 Years Old €108.08 · 1.27×
- LEDAIG 10 Years Old Un-chillfiltered €61.00 · 1.34×