silkywhisky
Aberlour / Speyside

ABERLOUR 12 Years Old Un-chillfiltered

0.57× hidden gem 12yo rating 4.8/5 · n=49
cheapest
€33.18
Système U
intrinsic
€84.69
N
3

Is it worth the price?

ABERLOUR 12 Years Old Un-chillfiltered is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Aberlour distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.8 out of 5 across 49 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €33.18 to €49.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €84.69. That is 0.57× the model estimate — well below what its age, strength and house predict, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 8 Aberlour bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
Système U €33.18
whisky.fr €47.90
whiskylodge €49.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.80 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€84.69
Actual price (median)
€47.90
Multiple
0.57×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.20
Cost floor
€37.73
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    standard production line; no declared distinctive practices
    0 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    48.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered (declared); E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Pernod Ricard / Chivas Brothers — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1879 (147 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.7959/5 across 49 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
7 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.58
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€59.74
Actual price (median)
€47.90
Multiple
0.80×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 799 mm at Aberlour (2 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Aberlour