silkywhisky

ABERLOUR 16 Years Old

0.60× hidden gem 16yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€69.95
topdrinks
intrinsic
€127.04
N
3

Is it worth the price?

ABERLOUR 16 Years Old is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Aberlour distillery, bottled at 16 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €69.95 to €136.81, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €127.04. That is 0.60× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. It is one of 10 Aberlour bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €69.95
whisky.fr €75.90
thewhiskyshop €136.81

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
16yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€127.04
Actual price (median)
€75.90
Multiple
0.60×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (16 × €1.20/year)
€33.86
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.05
Cost floor
€45.84
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    standard production line; no declared distinctive practices
    0 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    Pernod Ricard / Chivas Brothers — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1879 (147 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    2 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€68.76
Actual price (median)
€75.90
Multiple
1.10×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 765 mm at Aberlour (2 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Aberlour