silkywhisky

Aultmore 12 Years Old

0.85× fair value 12yo rating 4.1/5 · n=100
cheapest
€58.11
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€70.92
N
2

Is it worth the price?

Aultmore 12 Years Old is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Aultmore distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.1 out of 5 across 100 reviews. It is tracked at 2 retailers, ranging from €58.11 to €62.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €70.92. That is 0.85× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €58.11
whiskylodge €62.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.12 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€70.92
Actual price (median)
€60.06
Multiple
0.85×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€31.44
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    one of Dewar's Last Great Malts; expanded to 6M LPA in 2024
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Bacardi / John Dewar & Sons — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1896 (130 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.12/5 across 100 reviews
    0 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€47.17
Actual price (median)
€60.06
Multiple
1.27×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 870 mm at Keith (4 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.