silkywhisky
Caol Ila / Islay

CAOL ILA 12 Years Old

0.56× hidden gem 12yo rating 4.7/5 · n=160
cheapest
€39.94
Système U
intrinsic
€77.92
N
4

Is it worth the price?

CAOL ILA 12 Years Old is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Caol Ila distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.7 out of 5 across 160 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €39.94 to €57.50, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €77.92. That is 0.56× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. Of the 12 Caol Ila bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
Système U €39.94
topdrinks €39.95
whisky.fr €46.75
whiskylodge €57.50

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.66 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Islay
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€77.92
Actual price (median)
€43.35
Multiple
0.56×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.05
Cost floor
€33.02
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    large-volume Islay production; standard methods
    0 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1846 (180 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.6625/5 across 160 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€49.52
Actual price (median)
€43.35
Multiple
0.88×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,476 mm at Lingerton (46 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Caol Ila