Is it worth the price?
CAOL ILA 13 Years Old Smoky Discovery Gordon & Macphail is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Caol Ila distillery, bottled at 13 years old. Tasters score it 4.6 out of 5 across 18 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €65.00, against a model fair price of around €95.60. That is 0.68× the model estimate — well below what its age, strength and house predict, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 12 Caol Ila bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.
Retailers tracked
| Retailer | Price |
|---|---|
| whisky.fr | €65.00 |
How we got this number
The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.
- Rating
- 4.61 / 5
- Age
- 13yo
- Region
- Islay
- Distillery tier
- Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
- Predicted price
- €95.60
- Actual price (median)
- €65.00
- Multiple
- 0.68×
- Verdict band
- hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)
Methodology estimate
The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.
- Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
- €9.80
- Maturation (13 × €1.20/year)
- €24.39
- Cask premium (undeclared)
- +€0.00
- × ABV factor
- ×1.08
- Cost floor
- €36.75
- Process distinctnesslarge-volume Islay production; standard methods0 / 3
- Cask provenancecask type not declared on bottle0 / 3
- Bottling integrity43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed1 / 3
- OwnershipDiageo — production-led corporate1 / 3
- Heritagefounded 1846 (180 years of operation)3 / 3
- Reputation4.6111/5 across 18 reviews0 / 3
- Quality score
- 5 / 18
- Quality multiplier
- ×1.42
- Intrinsic value
- €52.07
- Actual price (median)
- €65.00
- Multiple
- 1.25×
- Verdict band
- mild premium
Maturation context
Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,593 mm at Lingerton (46 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.
Other bottlings from Caol Ila
- CAOL ILA 20 Years Old 1995 Hogshead Signatory Vintage €195.00 · 0.49×
- CAOL ILA 12 Years Old €39.94 · 0.49×
- CAOL ILA Moch €43.50 · 0.73×
- CAOL ILA 9 Years Old 2017 1st Fill Rivesaltes Small Batch Signatory Vintage €59.90 · 1.08×
- CAOL ILA 13 Years Old 2009 The Dava Way New Vibrations €170.00 · 1.13×
- CAOL ILA 9 Years Old 2016 New American Oak Barrels Elixir Distillers €69.00 · 1.14×