silkywhisky

CARDHU 15 Years Old

0.90× fair value 15yo rating 4.8/5 · n=8
cheapest
€51.80
topdrinks
intrinsic
€71.19
N
3

Is it worth the price?

CARDHU 15 Years Old is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Cardhu distillery, bottled at 15 years old. Tasters score it 4.8 out of 5 across 8 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €51.80 to €75.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €71.19. That is 0.90× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. It is one of 4 Cardhu bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €51.80
whiskylodge €64.00
whisky.fr €75.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.75 / 5
Age
15yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€71.19
Actual price (median)
€64.00
Multiple
0.90×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (15 × €1.20/year)
€30.48
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€40.28
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1824 (202 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.75/5 across 8 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
8 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.67
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€67.14
Actual price (median)
€64.00
Multiple
0.95×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 727 mm at Delnashaugh (8 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Cardhu