silkywhisky
Cardhu / Speyside

CARDHU Amber Rock

0.96× fair value NAS rating 4.5/5 · n=27
cheapest
€34.95
topdrinks
intrinsic
€45.91
N
2

Is it worth the price?

CARDHU Amber Rock is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Cardhu distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.5 out of 5 across 27 reviews. It is tracked at 2 retailers, ranging from €34.95 to €53.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €45.91. That is 0.96× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 4 Cardhu bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €34.95
whisky.fr €53.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.52 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Budget Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€45.91
Actual price (median)
€43.98
Multiple
0.96×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€16.72

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1824 (202 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.5185/5 across 27 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
8 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.67
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€27.87
Actual price (median)
€43.98
Multiple
1.58×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 781 mm at Delnashaugh (8 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Cardhu