silkywhisky

CRAGGANMORE 12 Years Old

1.00× fair value 12yo rating 4.5/5 · n=28
cheapest
€36.95
topdrinks
intrinsic
€50.04
N
4

Is it worth the price?

CRAGGANMORE 12 Years Old is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Cragganmore distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.5 out of 5 across 28 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €36.95 to €52.59, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €50.04. That is 1.00× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €36.95
whiskylodge €47.50
whisky.fr €52.50
thewhiskyshop €52.59

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.54 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€50.04
Actual price (median)
€50.00
Multiple
1.00×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€34.24
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1869 (157 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.5357/5 across 28 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
8 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.67
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€57.07
Actual price (median)
€50.00
Multiple
0.88×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 704 mm at Delnashaugh (3 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,235 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.