silkywhisky
Cragganmore / Speyside

CRAGGANMORE 12 Years Old

1.05× fair value 12yo rating 4.7/5 · n=27
cheapest
€36.95
topdrinks
intrinsic
€47.62
N
4

Is it worth the price?

CRAGGANMORE 12 Years Old is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Cragganmore distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.7 out of 5 across 27 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €36.95 to €52.50, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €47.62. That is 1.05× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €36.95
whiskylodge €47.50
thewhiskyshop €52.17
whisky.fr €52.50

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.67 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€47.62
Actual price (median)
€49.84
Multiple
1.05×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€34.24
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1869 (157 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.6667/5 across 27 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€59.93
Actual price (median)
€49.84
Multiple
0.83×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 727 mm at Delnashaugh (3 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.