silkywhisky
Jura / Island

JURA 12 Years Old

0.96× fair value 12yo rating 4.5/5 · n=56
cheapest
€39.42
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€48.00
N
4

Is it worth the price?

JURA 12 Years Old is an Island single malt Scotch from the Jura distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.5 out of 5 across 56 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €39.42 to €53.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €48.00. That is 0.96× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. It is one of 14 Jura bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €39.42
topdrinks €40.50
whiskylodge €52.00
whisky.fr €53.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.54 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€48.00
Actual price (median)
€46.25
Multiple
0.96×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€34.24
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    re-established 1963; standard production
    0 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Whyte & Mackay (Emperador) — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1810 (216 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.5357/5 across 56 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
5 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.42
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€48.51
Actual price (median)
€46.25
Multiple
0.95×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 1,476 mm at Lingerton (39 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Jura