silkywhisky

KILCHOMAN 18 Years Old Family Collection Ex-Bourbon Barrels

1.02× fair value 18yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€242.00
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€237.44
N
1

Is it worth the price?

KILCHOMAN 18 Years Old Family Collection Ex-Bourbon Barrels is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Kilchoman distillery, bottled at 18 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €242.00, against a model fair price of around €237.44. That is 1.02× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 14 Kilchoman bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €242.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
18yo
Region
Islay
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€237.44
Actual price (median)
€242.00
Multiple
1.02×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (18 × €1.20/year)
€41.35
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.25
Cost floor
€73.56
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    partial estate barley / floor malting on site; on-site floor malting; field-to-bottle 100% Islay range
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle; partial single-estate malt
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    50.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    Anthony Wills (founder family) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 2005 (21 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    2 / 3
Quality score
10 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.83
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€134.87
Actual price (median)
€242.00
Multiple
1.79×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,849 mm at Dippen (63 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Kilchoman