silkywhisky

OBAN 14 Years Old

0.81× fair value 14yo rating 4.6/5 · n=39
cheapest
€56.95
topdrinks
intrinsic
€99.04
N
4

Is it worth the price?

OBAN 14 Years Old is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Oban distillery, bottled at 14 years old. Tasters score it 4.6 out of 5 across 39 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €56.95 to €101.11, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €99.04. That is 0.81× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 4 Oban bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €56.95
whiskylodge €79.00
whisky.fr €82.00
thewhiskyshop €101.11

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.64 / 5
Age
14yo
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€99.04
Actual price (median)
€80.50
Multiple
0.81×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (14 × €1.20/year)
€27.33
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.08
Cost floor
€48.19
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo (prestige range) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1794 (232 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.641/5 across 39 reviews
    3 / 3
Quality score
11 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.92
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€92.37
Actual price (median)
€80.50
Multiple
0.87×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 1,660 mm at Dunstaffnage (4 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Oban