silkywhisky
Oban / Highland

OBAN Little Bay

0.68× hidden gem NAS rating 4.6/5 · n=12
cheapest
€62.25
topdrinks
intrinsic
€110.60
N
4

Is it worth the price?

OBAN Little Bay is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Oban distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.6 out of 5 across 12 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €62.25 to €88.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €110.60. That is 0.68× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. It is one of 3 Oban bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €62.25
whiskylodge €72.00
thewhiskyshop €78.84
whisky.fr €88.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.58 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€110.60
Actual price (median)
€75.42
Multiple
0.68×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.05
Cost floor
€25.64

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo (prestige range) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1794 (232 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.5833/5 across 12 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
10 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.83
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€47.01
Actual price (median)
€75.42
Multiple
1.60×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 1,604 mm at Dunstaffnage (4 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Oban