silkywhisky
Arran / Island

ARRAN 10 Years Old

0.98× fair value 10yo rating 4.7/5 · n=69
cheapest
€37.25
topdrinks
intrinsic
€57.37
N
4

Is it worth the price?

ARRAN 10 Years Old is an Island single malt Scotch from the Arran distillery, bottled at 10 years old. Tasters score it 4.7 out of 5 across 69 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €37.25 to €57.85, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €57.37. That is 0.98× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. It is one of 15 Arran bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €37.25
whiskylodge €56.00
whisky.fr €57.00
thewhiskyshop €57.85

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.70 / 5
Age
10yo
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€57.37
Actual price (median)
€56.50
Multiple
0.98×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (10 × €1.20/year)
€16.69
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.10
Cost floor
€37.61
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    independent revival distillery; classic methods
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Isle of Arran Distillers (independent) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1995 (31 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.6957/5 across 69 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
8 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.67
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€62.68
Actual price (median)
€56.50
Multiple
0.90×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 2,240 mm at Monyquil Farm (15 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,543 mm, +39.90% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Arran