silkywhisky
Arran / Island

ARRAN Quarter Cask "The Bothy"

0.98× fair value NAS rating 4.8/5 · n=12
cheapest
€69.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€75.63
N
2

Is it worth the price?

ARRAN Quarter Cask "The Bothy" is an Island single malt Scotch from the Arran distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.8 out of 5 across 12 reviews. It is tracked at 2 retailers, ranging from €69.90 to €78.84, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €75.63. That is 0.98× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. It is one of 13 Arran bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €69.90
thewhiskyshop €78.84

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.83 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€75.63
Actual price (median)
€74.37
Multiple
0.98×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.35
Cost floor
€32.97

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    independent revival distillery; classic methods
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    56.2% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    Isle of Arran Distillers (independent) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1995 (31 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.8333/5 across 12 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€57.69
Actual price (median)
€74.37
Multiple
1.29×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 2,255 mm at Monyquil Farm (15 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Arran