silkywhisky
Arran / Island

ARRAN The Amarone Cask Finish

0.87× fair value NAS rating 4.7/5 · n=21
cheapest
€45.00
topdrinks
intrinsic
€75.06
N
3

Is it worth the price?

ARRAN The Amarone Cask Finish is an Island single malt Scotch from the Arran distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.7 out of 5 across 21 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €45.00 to €67.50, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €75.06. That is 0.87× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 14 Arran bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €45.00
thewhiskyshop €65.08
whisky.fr €67.50

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.71 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€75.06
Actual price (median)
€65.08
Multiple
0.87×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (wine)
+€10.00
× ABV factor
×1.25
Cost floor
€43.03

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    independent revival distillery; classic methods
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    wine
    1 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    50.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    Isle of Arran Distillers (independent) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1995 (31 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.7143/5 across 21 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
10 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.83
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€78.88
Actual price (median)
€65.08
Multiple
0.83×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 2,249 mm at Monyquil Farm (15 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Arran