silkywhisky

BALVENIE (The) 21 Years Old PortWood

0.97× fair value 21yo rating 4.8/5 · n=6
cheapest
€257.09
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€298.58
N
3

Is it worth the price?

BALVENIE (The) 21 Years Old PortWood is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Balvenie distillery, bottled at 21 years old. Tasters score it 4.8 out of 5 across 6 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €257.09 to €299.95, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €298.58. That is 0.97× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. It is one of 9 Balvenie bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €257.09
whisky.fr €290.00
topdrinks €299.95

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.83 / 5
Age
21yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€298.58
Actual price (median)
€290.00
Multiple
0.97×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (21 × €1.20/year)
€54.72
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€64.52
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    partial estate barley / floor malting on site; partial floor malting; own cooperage; on-site coppersmith
    3 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle; partial single-estate malt
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    William Grant & Sons (family corporate) — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1892 (134 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.8333/5 across 6 reviews
    3 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€112.91
Actual price (median)
€290.00
Multiple
2.57×
Verdict band
brand premium

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 716 mm at Aberlour (5 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,235 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Balvenie